Wednesday, December 5, 2007

The Mike Gill Show (for December 5)...

So, I just got the topics du jour for this week’s segment of ESPN 1450’s Mike Gill Show. Under consideration are:

  • Whose package is better for Johan Santana: The Yankees or the Red Sox?
  • What are your thoughts on the Marlins - Tigers deal? Where does this place the Tigers in the AL?
  • Is Eric Bedard worth it?
  • Alex Rios to San Francisco--Why do the Jays want to deal him?
  • Aaron Rowand and Andruw Jones ... when will they sign?

Heh … I am lousy at analyzing trades. We’re doing a roundtable discussion at THT about the winter meetings and my efforts will be meager. However, I do have some great brains to pick so I’ll give the gist about what my colleagues are saying--but not too much that it spoils the surprise for our readers.

Whose package is better for Johan Santana: The Yankees or the Red Sox?

One thing I do know, the best package is the one with Phil Hughes in it. I’ve seen various offers from both the Red Sox and Yankees and unless the Bronx Bombers drop back in it will come down to choosing between Jon Lester, Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie and a choice between Justin Masterson and Michael Bowden and a package of Jacob Ellsbury, Lowrie and either Masterson or Bowden.

Peter Gammons is reporting that a five-for-one deal is all but finalized--Santana for Lester, Crisp, Lowrie, Masterson and Ryan Kalish. It makes the question moot.

Thoughts:

Lester: Live armed southpaw who needs to cut his walks. He still has lots of time to mature.
Lowrie: Switch-hitting SS, good batting eye with a bit of pop.
Masterson: RHP, good control but not overwhelming raw stuff. Possibly an end-of-the-rotation starter.
Kalish: Speedy 19 year old kid with a terrific batting eye and could develop some pop. CF of the future, and definite leadoff possibilities.
Crisp: Gold Glove, underachieving bat. Never developed as they thought. Will probably be allowed to walk away for draft picks.

What are your thoughts on the Marlins - Tigers deal? Where does this place the Tigers in the AL?

It gives them a ferocious lineup and Willis may improve in Comerica. He had a terrible defense behind him the last two years. If he can keep the ball in the park, he’ll be a plus in the rotation. Further, he may see pinch-hitting/running duty (.286/.348/.508; 3 triples, 2 HR in 2007). The wild card may come out of the AL Central again. Dave Dombrowski is loading up for a run to the World Series.

Is Erik Bedard worth it?

He’s Johan Santana-lite. Gillick should be all over this like zits on Nicole Ritchie.

Alex Rios to San Francisco--Why do the Jays want to deal him?

The Jays have a glut of outfielders: Vernon Wells, Matt Stairs, possibly Reed Johnson and Adam Lind. Ricciardi wishes to open a spot for Lind while the others keep left field open for Travis Snider. You can never have too much pitching (Matt Cain or Tim Lincecum) and Ricciardi is preparing for A.J. Burnett’s opt out at the end of ‘07. He’s also sniffing around Bedard for a Canadian connection. Ricciardi feels no real urgency and can wait for the Giants (or Orioles) to accept. Worst-case scenario: he has a terrific right fielder for 2007.

Aaron Rowand and Andruw Jones ... when will they sign?

I’m guessing he will sign sometime in February. Boras will wait until the better free agents are snapped up and get a couple of teams bidding for Jones. Chances are he can get the White Sox, Royals, Cubs, Brewers, Padres, Giants, Dodgers possibly the Rangers or Phillies (if Rowand signs elsewhere) in on it--all could use an upgrade in CF.

Best Regards

John

1 comment:

Pete Toms said...

The Tigers still need a bullpen. How's Zumaya?

Travis Snider is starting to get noticed. Everything I read about him in Baseball America is fantastic. He was recently the
15th to prospect in the game @ MILB.com ( which I think was a survey of 20 scouts ). I think he's the best Jays hitting prospect since Delgado. I don't see him in LF though, he's pretty thick already, rather succeeding Thomas at DH in 09.